- I figure that the stock market will not grow much and will trade sideways for some time.
- Municiple/state bonds will not be as safe as advertised because governments have spent way too much and bad economy will result in less tax revenues from income, sales, and businesses.
- The governments current "print money" policy will eventually create inflation!
Choose a diverse portfolio of index mutual funds:
- Domestic - 30% (VFINX or SPY)
- International - 20% (EFA or EAFE)
- Fixed Income/Bonds, MMA - 30% I think more should be placed in International and decrease the amount in fixed income by 10-15%
- Other - 20% Gold (GLD or Tocqueville Gold Fund)
- TIPS - Treasurydirect.gov or PIMCO Harbo Real Return Inst. Fund or Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities - side note: I think the gov't CPI measure has been adjusted down during the 1990's and does not accurately reflect true inflation, thus making TIPS less of a protection against inflation.
- Oil and Energy - (XLE, Vanguard Energy Fund) less than 10% because of volatility. note: I think you can invest more here because the world needs more energy in the future and the price will be going up from today's prices. Could be a good hedge against inflation during another energy crisis.
Taken from "The End of Prosperity" best book ever!
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